In recent years the interest of the investors in efficient methods for the forecasting price trend of a share in financial markets has grown steadily. The aim is to accurately forecast the future behavior of the market in order to identificate the so-called "correct timing".
In this paper we analyze three different approaches for forecasting financial data: Autoregression, artificial neural networks and support vector machines and we will determine potentials and limits of these methods. Application to the Italian financial market is also presented.
Genetic characteristics of the first three mutants found in P. apterus L.; white (w/w) 1965, yellow (y/y) 1966 and melanotic (m/m) 1973 have been described in detail. Exact Mendelian proportions of 1 : 1 and 3 : 1 in all standard test crosses and absence of sexual linkage revealed that each of these mutations was inherited as a single autosomal recessive gene. The dihybrid and trihybrid crosses showed that the w gene is epistatic over y. The absence of linkage shows that each of the described mutant genes is situated on a different chromosome. During 30 years of sustained rearings of P. apterus, the white (w/w) and yellow (y/y) mutants never originated de novo, whereas the melanotic (m/m) mutants originated independently from the macropterous strain three times. Triple recessive (w y m) white melanotic strain has been maintained and used for some genetic investigations for over 20 years.
So far, available cytogenetic data on 24 species of Rhopalidae reveal a male diploid chromosome number of 13, with a pair of m chromosomes and an X0/XX (male/female) sex chromosome determining system. As a rule Heteroptera have holokinetic chromosomes and a pre-reductional type of meiosis: the autosomal bivalents and the m pseudobivalent segregate reductionally at first meiotic division, while the X chromosome segregates equationally. In the present study, the meiotic chromosome behaviour was analyzed in males from different Argentinean populations of Jadera haematoloma and J. sanguinolenta. Our results corroborate the diploid chromosome number and general patterns of male meiosis previously reported by other authors in samples from Brazil and Texas (USA). Among bivalents, one is remarkably larger and may present one or two terminal chiasmata. Comparison of mean chiasma frequency between Jadera haematoloma (5.63) and J. sanguinolenta (5.14) revealed that differences are significant. In most individuals of both species the largest pair appears as univalents in a variable number of cells and shows a regular meiotic segregation. Autosomal univalents orientate axially at metaphase I (with their long axis parallel to the spindle axis) and segregate equationally at anaphase I. At metaphase II they associate end-to-end forming a pseudobivalent that segregates reductionally at anaphase II. An hypothesis is suggested to explain the appearance of the largest pair, either as a ring/rod bivalent or as univalents within the same individual, although an asynaptic or desynaptic origin of the univalents cannot be ascertained. The highly regular meiotic behaviour of this autosomal pair could ensure a high fertility of the individuals, and could be considered a selectively neutral condition or, at least, not detrimental.
The feeding area selection of the common crane was studied between 1996–1998 in the Hortobágy National Park and surrounding areas during the autumn migration and staging over period. The cranes roosted in marshlands and drained fishponds and fed in the following types of agricultural areas: maize stubble, maize-, wheat-, alfalfa-, and abandoned fields as well as natural grasslands. The largest proportion of crane flocks fed on maize stubbles on waste grain. Family flocks usually fed separately. The type of feeding area did not depend on the time of the day. The density of feeding flocks did not depend on the type of feeding area, indicating high abundance of food. The study suggests that agricultural areas inside the National Park should be used for growing maize for staging cranes in order to attract them from disturbed non-protected arable lands outside the National Park. It is also important to stop wildfowl-hunting in fishponds to let cranes choose between more roost sites closer to feeding areas.
Diet, carcass weight (dressed weight) and kidney fat index (KFI) in wild boar populations were compared between two different lowland environments in south-western Poland. In the forest-farmland environment of the Lasy Śląskie forest (LS), fodder root crops and cereals made up 67.6 % of the dry weight (d.w.) of stomach content (n = 40). In the large compact forest of the Bory Dolnośląskie forest (BD), 69.6 % of the stomach content (n = 43) was made up of roots and browse. Piglets and older animals harvested in BD were significantly lighter than those harvested in LS (13.6 kg vs. 25.6 kg and 47.3 kg vs. 55.9 kg respectively). The KFI of piglets and older animals harvested in LS were significantly higher than those incorresponding age classes of wild boars from BD. The metabolized energy of stomach content amounted to 13.2 MJ/kg d.w. in LS and 8.9 MJ/kg d.w. in BD. This is probably the chief cause of the differences in carcass weight and KFI between the wild boars living in the compared study areas.